Common opening mistakes at 2000–2199 Elo — and how to punish them

Lichess players rated 2000–2199 (the 2000s band; ≈1750–2000 on Chess.com). For every opening we teach: the share of them who reach it and then make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 11 moves, ranked highest first, with the costliest slip and our answer to it. How we measure.

40% of Lichess players rated 2000–2199 who reach the King's Gambit make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 9 moves (6.1M games, a lower bound).

The three highest for players rated 2000–2199 are the King's Gambit (40%), the Vienna Gambit (34%) and the Budapest Gambit (26%). 9 of the ten highest here are also among the ten highest one band down (1800–1999); the Smith-Morra Gambit stands furthest above its place there, number 5 here against number 11.

70 openings, ranked for players rated 2000–2199

#OpeningMake a mistakeWin rateCostliest slipPunish it
1King's GambitC30 · for White40%within 9 moves · 6.1M games48% for White+14 pts well prepared51% win chance after move 112…Nc6 16.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: exf4the answer: 3.Nf3 d6 4.d3
2Vienna GambitC29 · for White34%within 10 moves · 734K games52% for White+6 pts well prepared56% win chance after move 113…exf4 17.3% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: d5the answer: 4.e5 Ng8 5.Nf3
3Budapest GambitA52 · for Black26%within 11 moves · 2.0M games45% for Blackwell prepared: too few games45% win chance after move 113.d5 15.3% play itMistaketheir better move: dxe5the answer: 3…Bb4+ 4.Bd2 a5
4Scandinavian DefenseB01 · for Black25%within 10 moves · 21M games46% for Black+5 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 112.e5 6.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: exd5the answer: 2…c5 3.d4 cxd4
5Smith-Morra GambitB21 · for White21%within 10 moves · 4.0M games49% for White+3 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 113…d3 14.4% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: dxc3the answer: 4.Bxd3 Nc6 5.c4
6Semi-Slav DefenseD43 · for Black20%within 11 moves · 2.7M games43% for Black+4 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 115.Bf4 8.5% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Bg5the answer: 5…dxc4 6.e3 b5
7Petrov DefenseC42 · for Black19%within 11 moves · 5.2M games46% for Black+6 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 113.Bc4 13.3% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30their better move: Nxe5the answer: 3…Nxe4 4.Nxe5 d5
8Sicilian Wing GambitB20 · for White17%within 6 moves · 1.2M games49% for Whitewell prepared: too few games50% win chance after move 112…e6 10.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxb4the answer: 3.bxc5 Bxc5 4.d4
9Danish GambitC21 · for White17%within 10 moves · 1.6M games51% for White+4 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 113…d3 6.8% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Qe7the answer: 4.Bxd3 Nc6 5.Nf3
10King's Gambit: Bishop's GambitC33 · for White16%within 8 moves · 320K games53% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games3…g5 13.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nc6the answer: 4.h4 g4 5.Nc3
11Traxler CounterattackC57 · for Black15%within 11 moves · 199K games47% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games5.O-O 8.2% play itMistaketheir better move: Nxf7the answer: 5…O-O 6.d3 d5
12Alekhine's DefenseB02 · for Black11%within 10 moves · 7.4M games48% for Black+5 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 112.d3 5.5% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: e5the answer: 2…c5 3.Nf3 Nc6
13Italian GameC50 · for White10%within 10 moves · 13M games48% for White+6 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 116…Ne4 10.5% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: d5the answer: 7.Bd5 Nxf2 8.Kxf2
14Scotch GambitC44 · for White10%within 11 moves · 2.1M games50% for White+5 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 115…dxc3 26.1% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6the answer: 6.Bxf7+ Kxf7 7.Qd5+
15Scotch GameC45 · for White10%within 10 moves · 3.2M games50% for White+4 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 1110…Bg7 83% play itMistaketheir better move: g5the answer: 11.Qf2 Nb6 12.Ba3
16Four Knights GameC47 · for White8%within 11 moves · 2.5M games51% for White+5 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 115…Nxd4 10.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bb4the answer: 6.Qxd4 d6 7.Bf4
17Caro-Kann Panov AttackB14 · for White7%within 10 moves · 1.6M games50% for White+5 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 115…Bf5 4.7% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: e6the answer: 6.Qb3 Qb6 7.cxd5
18Ruy Lopez ExchangeC68 · for White6%within 10 moves · 891K games50% for White+6 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 117…Bc5 15.4% play itBlunder · wins a piecetheir better move: c5the answer: 8.Qh5+ g6 9.Qxc5
19Benko GambitA57 · for Black6%within 10 moves · 1.5M games51% for Black+1 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 114.Nc3 5.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxb5the answer: 4…b4 5.Nb1 e6
20Modern BenoniA60 · for Black6%within 10 moves · 704K games48% for Black+3 pts well prepared44% win chance after move 114.dxe6 5.6% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc3the answer: 4…fxe6 5.Nc3 d5
21Modern DefenseB06 · for Black5%within 11 moves · 8.0M games46% for Black+4 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 112.f4 4.8% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: d4the answer: 2…d5 3.e5 c5
22Vienna GameC25 · for White5%within 10 moves · 4.2M games51% for White+7 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 112…f5 2.4% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc6
23Grünfeld DefenseD80 · for Black5%within 11 moves · 1.9M games46% for Black+3 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 114.e4 2.7% play itMistaketheir better move: Nf3
24Slav DefenseD15 · for Black4%within 10 moves · 8.5M games43% for Black+5 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 115.Bf4 8.5% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Bg5the answer: 5…dxc4 6.e3 b5
25French DefenseC00 · for Black4%within 11 moves · 18M games46% for Black+4 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 115.Bb5 6.1% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Nf3the answer: 5…Qa5 6.Bxc6+ bxc6
26Tarrasch DefenseD32 · for Black4%within 10 moves · 391K games48% for Black+7 pts well prepared49% win chance after move 114.Bf4 2.4% play itMistaketheir better move: cxd5
27French TarraschC03 · for White3%within 11 moves · 3.0M games49% for White+3 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 117…a6 3.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxd4the answer: 8.O-O b5 9.Nf3
28Bishop's OpeningC23 · for White3%within 10 moves · 4.1M games49% for White+6 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 113…Nf6 17.2% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Nc6the answer: 4.Nxe5 O-O 5.d4
29Queen's Gambit ExchangeD35 · for White3%within 10 moves · 1.5M games52% for White+3 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 117…b6 7% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: h6the answer: 8.Bxf6 Bxf6 9.Qh5
30Accelerated DragonB35 · for Black3%within 11 moves · 2.1M games46% for Black+7 pts well prepared48% win chance after move 116.Be3 8.1% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Nc3the answer: 6…Nxe4 7.Bd3 Qa5+
31Two Knights DefenseC55 · for Black3%within 10 moves · 5.2M games47% for Black+4 pts well prepared48% win chance after move 118.Ba4 10.5% play itMistaketheir better move: Bd3the answer: 8…h6 9.Nf3 e4
32Ruy LopezC60 · for White3%within 10 moves · 9.8M games50% for White+3 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 114…a6 6.3% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30their better move: Nxe4the answer: 5.Bxc6 dxc6 6.Nxe5
33King's Indian DefenseE60 · for Black2%within 11 moves · 4.5M games46% for Black+4 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 116.e5 10.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Be2the answer: 6…dxe5 7.fxe5 Nfd7
34Evans GambitC51 · for White2%within 10 moves · 729K games50% for White+9 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 118…Nf6 20.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bb6the answer: 9.dxe5 dxe5 10.Rd1
35Sicilian DragonB70 · for Black2%within 11 moves · 1.8M games48% for Black+3 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 1111.Nxd5 31.3% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nxc6the answer: 11…Qxd5 12.Nxc6 Qxc6
36English OpeningA10 · for White2%within 10 moves · 23M games50% for White+4 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 114…Bc5 9.9% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bb4the answer: 5.Nxe5 Nxe5 6.d4
37Caro-Kann DefenseB10 · for Black2%within 10 moves · 27M games46% for Black+4 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 114.f3 6.1% play itMistaketheir better move: Nxe4
38Philidor DefenseC41 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 4.8M games43% for Black+6 pts well prepared43% win chance after move 116.Bxf7+ 9.7% play itMistaketheir better move: a4the answer: 6…Kxf7 7.Ng5+ Kg8
39Trompowsky AttackA45 · for White1%within 10 moves · 2.1M games50% for White+5 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 115…c5 12.9% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bb4the answer: 6.e5 Qd8 7.d5
40Sicilian NajdorfB90 · for Black1%within 11 moves · 5.0M games46% for Black+3 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 117.Nf5 3.3% play itMistaketheir better move: Nb3the answer: 7…d5 8.Bg5 d4
41French AdvanceC02 · for White1%within 10 moves · 4.6M games48% for White+6 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 119…Nb3 13% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30their better move: Ne7the answer: 10.Nxb3
42Sicilian TaimanovB44 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 2.1M games46% for Black+5 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 118.f4 5.2% play itBlunder · wins the queentheir better move: Be3the answer: 8…Nxd4 9.Qxd4 Bc5
43Dutch DefenseA80 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 3.5M games44% for Black+5 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 113.e4 2.3% play itMistaketheir better move: g3
44French WinawerC15 · for Black1%within 11 moves · 1.6M games46% for Black+7 pts well prepared44% win chance after move 1112.cxd4 5.6% play itMistake · wins a rooktheir better move: Qd3the answer: 12…Nxd4 13.Qd3 Nxc2+
45Colle SystemD05 · for White1%within 10 moves · 1.6M games49% for White+4 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 116…c4 7.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: b6the answer: 7.Bc2 Bd6 8.e4
46Leningrad DutchA87 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 52K games45% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games10.Nd2 8.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: b3the answer: 10…Na6 11.a3 Ng4
47Sicilian AlapinB22 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 4.8M games49% for White+3 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 115…dxc3 2.4% play itBlunder · wins material · verified d30their better move: Nc6the answer: 6.Qxd5 cxb2 7.Bxb2
48Sicilian vs Anti-SiciliansB50 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 77M games46% for Black+5 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 113.d4 2.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: e5the answer: 3…Nxe4 4.Bd3 d5
49Sicilian ScheveningenB80 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 455K games47% for Black+3 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 119.Be2 2.9% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: O-O-Othe answer: 9…b4 10.Na4 d5
50Closed SicilianB23 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 8.6M games50% for White+4 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 119…f5 45.4% play itMistaketheir better move: Bxh6the answer: 10.h5
51Nimzo-Indian DefenseE20 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 3.1M games47% for Black+7 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 117.Bg5 20.2% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: g3the answer: 7…Nxc5 8.e3 Nce4
52Classical SicilianB56 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 1.2M games47% for Black+6 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 1110.e5 7% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Bxf6the answer: 10…dxe5 11.Nxc6 Bxc6
53Marshall AttackC89 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 242K games46% for Black+1 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 1110.cxd4 3.7% play itBlunder · verified d30their better move: e5the answer: 10…dxe4
54Pirc DefenseB07 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 13M games46% for Black+5 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 118.Bxa6 7.3% play itMistaketheir better move: d5the answer: 8…cxd4 9.Nxd4 bxa6
55Queen's Indian DefenseE12 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 708K games44% for Black+1 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 117.e4 5.9% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Bd2the answer: 7…Nxc3 8.bxc3 Bxe4
56Sicilian MoscowB51 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 1.3M games50% for White+2 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 1110…exd4 44.6% play itMistaketheir better move: Nd7the answer: 11.g4 Nxg4 12.Nxd4
57King's Indian AttackA05 · for White<1%within 11 moves · 124K games52% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games8…dxe4 27.2% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc6the answer: 9.dxe4 O-O 10.e5
58Réti OpeningA04 · for White<1%within 11 moves · 974K games51% for White+2 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 115…Qd7 3% play itMistaketheir better move: e6the answer: 6.Ne5 Qc8 7.Nxg4
59Sicilian RossolimoB30 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 2.7M games52% for White+5 pts well prepared56% win chance after move 117…exd5 5.8% play itMistaketheir better move: Nxd5the answer: 8.d4 c4 9.b3
60Torre AttackA46 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 12M games49% for White+4 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 118…Bg4 6.4% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc6the answer: 9.h3 Bxf3 10.Qxf3
61Queen's Gambit AcceptedD20 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 2.4M games44% for Black+10 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 119.exd4 13.1% play itMistaketheir better move: Rd1the answer: 9…Nxd4 10.Nxd4 Qxd4
62Catalan OpeningE01 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 436K games52% for White+3 pts well prepared56% win chance after move 119…O-O 25.7% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Rb8the answer: 10.a3 Nd5 11.Qxc4
63London SystemD00 · for White<1%within 11 moves · 137M games50% for White+4 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 119…Qxc5 15.3% play itMistaketheir better move: Be7the answer: 10.c4 Be7 11.Nb3
64Caro-Kann AdvanceB12 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 4.8M games49% for White+8 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 11——
65Sicilian SveshnikovB33 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 1.2M games47% for Black+3 pts well prepared48% win chance after move 11——
66Sicilian KanB41 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 2.2M games50% for Black+7 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 11——
67Ruy Lopez BerlinC65 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 1.7M games44% for Black+6 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 11——
68Open Ruy LopezC80 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 139K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games——
69Queen's Gambit DeclinedD30 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 6.7M games44% for Black+4 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 11——
70Bogo-Indian DefenseE11 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 598K games44% for Black+3 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 11——

Shares are of Lichess blitz, rapid, classical games in this band that reached each opening’s root position; every reply is graded against Stockfish at depth 20 with the game review’s labels and close calls re-graded at depth 30; each figure is a lower bound. 70 of 70 openings are measured at this level. Reply data mined 2026-10-03.

Win rates are wins of the owning side over every rated Lichess blitz, rapid and classical game that reached the opening’s root position in May and June 2026, banded by the average of both ratings; “well prepared” is the win rate of players who were never the first to leave established theory, and no mistake or blunder before move 11, minus the win rate of every evaluated game in the band, in points; “win chance after move 11” is the owning side’s mean win probability at that point over evaluated games. Floors: 1.0K games, 1.0K evaluated games, 300 well-prepared games. How these are measured.

Frequently asked questions

40% of Lichess players rated 2000–2199 who reach the King's Gambit make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 9 moves (6.1M games, a lower bound). That is the top of this page’s ranking; the table lists every opening we teach in the same order, with the slip that costs the most and the answer to it.

Your games already show which of these openings you actually reach — the trainer ranks this list for your own rating and drills the lines behind it.

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