Common opening mistakes at 2200+ Elo — and how to punish them
Lichess players rated 2200 and up (the 2200+ band; roughly ≈2000+ on Chess.com). For every opening we teach: the share of them who reach it and then make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 11 moves, ranked highest first, with the costliest slip and our answer to it. How we measure.
29% of Lichess players rated 2200 and up who reach the King's Gambit make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 9 moves (1.1M games, a lower bound).
70 openings, ranked for the 2200+
| # | Opening | Make a mistake | Costliest slip | Punish it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King's GambitC30 · for White | 29%within 9 moves · 1.1M games | 2…Nc6 14.2% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: exf4the answer: 3.Nf3 d6 4.d3 |
| 2 | Smith-Morra GambitB21 · for White | 21%within 10 moves · 1.4M games | 3…d3 16.8% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30 | their better move: dxc3the answer: 4.Bxd3 Nc6 5.c4 |
| 3 | Scandinavian DefenseB01 · for Black | 18%within 10 moves · 5.4M games | 2.Nc3 6% play itMistake | their better move: exd5the answer: 2…d4 3.Nce2 e5 |
| 4 | Vienna GambitC29 · for White | 16%within 10 moves · 268K games | 3…exf4 6.9% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: d5the answer: 4.e5 Ng8 5.Nf3 |
| 5 | King's Gambit: Bishop's GambitC33 · for White | 14%within 8 moves · 99K games | 3…g5 10% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Nc6the answer: 4.h4 g4 5.Nc3 |
| 6 | Budapest GambitA52 · for Black | 13%within 11 moves · 647K games | 3.d5 6.5% play itMistake | their better move: dxe5the answer: 3…Bb4+ 4.Bd2 a5 |
| 7 | Semi-Slav DefenseD43 · for Black | 12%within 10 moves · 1.4M games | 5.Bf4 5.2% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30 | their better move: Bg5the answer: 5…dxc4 6.e3 b5 |
| 8 | Petrov DefenseC42 · for Black | 12%within 11 moves · 1.6M games | 3.Bc4 6.7% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Nxe5the answer: 3…Nxe4 4.Nxe5 d5 |
| 9 | Sicilian Wing GambitB20 · for White | 12%within 6 moves · 438K games | 2…e6 6.2% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: cxb4the answer: 3.bxc5 Bxc5 4.d4 |
| 10 | Scotch GameC45 · for White | 11%within 10 moves · 1.0M games | 10…Bg7 73.5% play itMistake | their better move: g5the answer: 11.Qf2 Nb6 12.Ba3 |
| 11 | Danish GambitC21 · for White | 11%within 3 moves · 282K games | 3…d3 10.5% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Qe7the answer: 4.Bxd3 Nc6 5.Nf3 |
| 12 | Traxler CounterattackC57 · for Black | 8%within 7 moves · 51K games | 5.O-O 6.1% play itMistake | their better move: Nxf7the answer: 5…O-O 6.d3 d5 |
| 13 | Alekhine's DefenseB02 · for Black | 7%within 10 moves · 3.1M games | 2.d3 5% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: e5the answer: 2…c5 3.Nf3 Nc6 |
| 14 | Scotch GambitC44 · for White | 4%within 10 moves · 660K games | 5…dxc3 10.8% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Nf6the answer: 6.Bxf7+ Kxf7 7.Qd5+ |
| 15 | Marshall AttackC89 · for Black | 4%within 11 moves · 583K games | 6.c3 4% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30 | their better move: Re1the answer: 6…Nxe4 7.Re1 Nc5 |
| 16 | Accelerated DragonB35 · for Black | 3%within 11 moves · 932K games | 6.Be3 6.3% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Nc3the answer: 6…Nxe4 7.Bd3 Qa5+ |
| 17 | Bishop's OpeningC23 · for White | 3%within 10 moves · 721K games | 5…dxe4 11.1% play itMistake · wins material · verified d30 | their better move: a5the answer: 6.Ng5 Be6 7.Bxe6 |
| 18 | Benko GambitA57 · for Black | 3%within 10 moves · 992K games | 4.Nc3 2.5% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: cxb5the answer: 4…b4 5.Nb1 e6 |
| 19 | Four Knights GameC47 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 956K games | 5…Nxd4 2.7% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Bb4the answer: 6.Qxd4 d6 7.Bf4 |
| 20 | Italian GameC50 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 3.5M games | 6…Ne4 5.3% play itMistake · wins material | their better move: d5the answer: 7.Bd5 Nxf2 8.Kxf2 |
| 21 | Slav DefenseD15 · for Black | 2%within 10 moves · 3.7M games | 5.Bf4 5.2% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30 | their better move: Bg5the answer: 5…dxc4 6.e3 b5 |
| 22 | French TarraschC03 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 1.8M games | 4…Nf6 21.5% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: c5the answer: 5.e5 Nfd7 6.Qg4 |
| 23 | Ruy Lopez ExchangeC68 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 437K games | 7…Bc5 5.9% play itBlunder · wins a piece | their better move: c5the answer: 8.Qh5+ g6 9.Qxc5 |
| 24 | Evans GambitC51 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 203K games | 8…Nf6 12.8% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Bb6the answer: 9.dxe5 Nxe4 10.Re1 |
| 25 | Philidor DefenseC41 · for Black | 2%within 10 moves · 785K games | 6.Bxf7+ 6.1% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: a4the answer: 6…Kxf7 7.Ng5+ Kg8 |
| 26 | French DefenseC00 · for Black | 2%within 11 moves · 8.0M games | 4.Qg4 4.6% play itMistake | their better move: c3 |
| 27 | Caro-Kann Panov AttackB14 · for White | 2%within 10 moves · 795K games | 6…dxc4 7.2% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Bg7the answer: 7.Bxc4 e6 8.d5 |
| 28 | Caro-Kann DefenseB10 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 11M games | 4.f3 4.3% play itMistake | their better move: Nxe4 |
| 29 | Queen's Gambit ExchangeD35 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 985K games | 7…b6 5.1% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: h6the answer: 8.Bxf6 Bxf6 9.Qh5 |
| 30 | Trompowsky AttackA45 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 1.7M games | 5…c5 8.4% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Bb4the answer: 6.e5 Qd8 7.d5 |
| 31 | French AdvanceC02 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 1.7M games | 9…Nb3 9.6% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30 | their better move: Ne7the answer: 10.Nxb3 Ba4 11.Nfd2 |
| 32 | Ruy LopezC60 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 4.2M games | 4…a6 3.6% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30 | their better move: Nxe4the answer: 5.Bxc6 dxc6 6.Nxe5 |
| 33 | Dutch DefenseA80 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 1.5M games | 3.e4 2.2% play itMistake | their better move: g3 |
| 34 | Leningrad DutchA87 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 64K games | 10.Nd2 7.1% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: b3the answer: 10…Na6 11.a3 Ng4 |
| 35 | Vienna GameC25 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 1.4M games | 3…f5 2% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Nf6 |
| 36 | Two Knights DefenseC55 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 1.7M games | 8.Ba4 3.3% play itMistake | their better move: Bd3the answer: 8…h6 9.Nf3 e4 |
| 37 | Sicilian TaimanovB44 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 864K games | 9.Bf3 7.4% play itMistake | their better move: Na4the answer: 9…Ne5 10.Bf4 O-O |
| 38 | King's Indian DefenseE60 · for Black | 1%within 11 moves · 2.5M games | 6.e5 4.4% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Be2the answer: 6…dxe5 7.fxe5 Nfd7 |
| 39 | English OpeningA10 · for White | 1%within 10 moves · 11M games | 4…Bc5 4.3% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Bb4the answer: 5.Nxe5 Nxe5 6.d4 |
| 40 | Grünfeld DefenseD80 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 1.2M games | 8.a4 5.6% play itMistake | their better move: e5the answer: 8…b5 9.Qb3 c5 |
| 41 | Classical SicilianB56 · for Black | 1%within 10 moves · 856K games | 10.e5 4.6% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Bxf6the answer: 10…dxe5 11.Nxc6 Bxc6 |
| 42 | Pirc DefenseB07 · for Black | 1%within 11 moves · 4.8M games | 9.Qe1 10.2% play itMistake | their better move: h3the answer: 9…Bxf3 10.Rxf3 Nb4 |
| 43 | Sicilian DragonB70 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 1.1M games | 7.g4 4.6% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Be3the answer: 7…Bxg4 8.Bxg4 Nxg4 |
| 44 | Closed SicilianB23 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 4.4M games | 9…f5 32.3% play itMistake · wins a piece | their better move: Bxh6the answer: 10.h5 f4 11.Bxg7 |
| 45 | Nimzo-Indian DefenseE20 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 2.1M games | 7.Bg5 12.3% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: g3the answer: 7…Nxc5 8.e3 Nce4 |
| 46 | Queen's Indian DefenseE12 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 731K games | 7.e4 4.6% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Bd2the answer: 7…Nxc3 8.bxc3 Bxe4 |
| 47 | Modern DefenseB06 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 3.1M games | 9.Qe1 10.2% play itMistake | their better move: h3the answer: 9…Bxf3 10.Rxf3 Nb4 |
| 48 | Colle SystemD05 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 613K games | 6…c4 3% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: b6the answer: 7.Bc2 Bd6 8.e4 |
| 49 | Sicilian ScheveningenB80 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 251K games | 10.Nf5 17.9% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Nb3the answer: 10…Bxf5 11.exf5 exf4 |
| 50 | Sicilian NajdorfB90 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 3.0M games | 7.Nf5 2.3% play itMistake · verified d30 | their better move: Nb3the answer: 7…d5 8.Bg5 d4 |
| 51 | Catalan OpeningE01 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 586K games | 9…O-O 16.1% play itMistake · wins a pawn | their better move: Rb8the answer: 10.a3 Nd5 11.Qxc4 |
| 52 | Queen's Gambit AcceptedD20 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 886K games | 9.exd4 7.7% play itMistake | their better move: Rd1the answer: 9…Nxd4 10.Nxd4 Qxd4 |
| 53 | King's Indian AttackA05 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 147K games | 8…dxe4 13.1% play itMistake | their better move: Nc6the answer: 9.dxe4 O-O 10.e5 |
| 54 | Sicilian vs Anti-SiciliansB50 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 33M games | 8.Bf1 7.7% play itMistake | their better move: Bxc6the answer: 8…O-O 9.d3 Ne6 |
| 55 | Torre AttackA46 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 8.1M games | 8…Bg4 2.2% play itMistake | their better move: Nc6the answer: 9.h3 Bxf3 10.Qxf3 |
| 56 | London SystemD00 · for White | <1%within 11 moves · 61M games | 9…Qxc5 10% play itMistake | their better move: Be7the answer: 10.c4 Be7 11.Nb3 |
| 57 | Sicilian AlapinB22 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 2.2M games | 8…Bd6 2% play itBlunder · wins the queen | their better move: Qd7the answer: 9.Bc4 Bb8 10.Bxd5 |
| 58 | Caro-Kann AdvanceB12 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 2.3M games | 10…Ng6 3.6% play itMistake | their better move: O-Othe answer: 11.Ne1 Ne7 12.f4 |
| 59 | Réti OpeningA04 · for White | <1%within 11 moves · 951K games | — | — |
| 60 | Modern BenoniA60 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 476K games | — | — |
| 61 | Sicilian RossolimoB30 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 1.7M games | — | — |
| 62 | Sicilian SveshnikovB33 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 1.3M games | — | — |
| 63 | Sicilian KanB41 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 1.2M games | — | — |
| 64 | Sicilian MoscowB51 · for White | <1%within 10 moves · 1.1M games | — | — |
| 65 | French WinawerC15 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 1.2M games | — | — |
| 66 | Ruy Lopez BerlinC65 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 745K games | — | — |
| 67 | Open Ruy LopezC80 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 109K games | — | — |
| 68 | Queen's Gambit DeclinedD30 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 2.5M games | — | — |
| 69 | Tarrasch DefenseD32 · for Black | <1%within 10 moves · 268K games | — | — |
| 70 | Bogo-Indian DefenseE11 · for Black | <1%within 11 moves · 606K games | — | — |
Shares are of Lichess blitz, rapid, classical games in this band that reached each opening’s root position; every reply is graded against Stockfish at depth 20 with the game review’s labels and close calls re-graded at depth 30; each figure is a lower bound. 70 of 70 openings are measured at this level. Reply data mined 2026-09-02.
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