Common opening mistakes under 1200 Elo — and how to punish them

Lichess players rated under 1200 (the <1200 band; ≈<650 on Chess.com). For every opening we teach: the share of them who reach it and then make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 11 moves, ranked highest first, with the costliest slip and our answer to it. How we measure.

75% of Lichess players rated under 1200 who reach the Vienna Gambit make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 10 moves (1.2M games, a lower bound).

The three highest for players rated under 1200 are the Vienna Gambit (75%), the King's Gambit (61%) and the Budapest Gambit (53%). 9 of the ten highest here are also among the ten highest one band up (1200–1399); the Alekhine's Defense stands furthest above its place there, number 6 here against number 9.

70 openings, ranked for players rated under 1200

#OpeningMake a mistakeWin rateCostliest slipPunish it
1Vienna GambitC29 · for White75%within 10 moves · 1.2M games58% for White+13 pts well prepared65% win chance after move 113…exf4 51% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: d5the answer: 4.e5 Ng8 5.Nf3
2King's GambitC30 · for White61%within 9 moves · 5.8M games53% for White+18 pts well prepared57% win chance after move 112…Nc6 20.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: exf4the answer: 3.Nf3 d6 4.d3
3Budapest GambitA52 · for Black53%within 10 moves · 103K games48% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games3.e3 14.6% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: dxe5the answer: 3…exd4 4.exd4 Bb4+
4Scotch GameC45 · for White50%within 10 moves · 5.5M games52% for White+16 pts well prepared58% win chance after move 115…Nf6 36.4% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Qf6the answer: 6.e5 Qe7 7.Be3
5Scandinavian DefenseB01 · for Black46%within 10 moves · 50M games46% for Black+18 pts well prepared44% win chance after move 112.e5 17.3% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: exd5the answer: 2…c5 3.d4 cxd4
6Alekhine's DefenseB02 · for Black36%within 10 moves · 9.6M games44% for Black+24 pts well prepared43% win chance after move 112.Nf3 11.4% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: e5the answer: 2…Nxe4 3.Bc4 d5
7Semi-Slav DefenseD43 · for Black33%within 11 moves · 128K games46% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games5.Bf4 11.4% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Bg5the answer: 5…dxc4 6.e3 b5
8Scotch GambitC44 · for White31%within 11 moves · 717K games55% for White+19 pts well prepared59% win chance after move 115…dxc3 71.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6the answer: 6.Bxf7+ Kxf7 7.Qd5+
9King's Gambit: Bishop's GambitC33 · for White29%within 8 moves · 98K games55% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games3…Bc5 9.5% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: c6the answer: 4.Bxf7+ Kxf7 5.Qh5+
10Modern BenoniA60 · for Black26%within 10 moves · 30K games44% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4.dxe6 16% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc3the answer: 4…fxe6 5.Nc3 d5
11French DefenseC00 · for Black25%within 10 moves · 5.5M games48% for Black+15 pts well prepared48% win chance after move 114.dxc5 9.1% play itMistake · wins material · verified d30their better move: c3the answer: 4…Nc6 5.Nf3 Bxc5
12Ruy Lopez ExchangeC68 · for White25%within 10 moves · 2.1M games52% for White+13 pts well prepared58% win chance after move 115…Nf6 27.6% play itMistake · wins a piecetheir better move: Bg4the answer: 6.Nxe5 Bd6 7.Nf3
13Smith-Morra GambitB21 · for White25%within 10 moves · 198K games50% for Whitewell prepared: too few games52% win chance after move 114…e5 14.7% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: Nc6the answer: 5.Bc4 Nf6 6.Nf3
14Petrov DefenseC42 · for Black24%within 10 moves · 22M games42% for Black+21 pts well prepared41% win chance after move 113.Bc4 18.4% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30their better move: Nxe5the answer: 3…Nxe4 4.Nxe5 d5
15Two Knights DefenseC55 · for Black24%within 10 moves · 16M games44% for Black+19 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 118.Ba4 53.1% play itMistaketheir better move: Bd3the answer: 8…h6 9.Nf3 e4
16Italian GameC50 · for White22%within 10 moves · 37M games51% for White+16 pts well prepared57% win chance after move 113…Nd4 4.3% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bc5the answer: 4.Nxd4 exd4 5.O-O
17Four Knights GameC47 · for White18%within 11 moves · 21M games48% for White+13 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 115…Nxd4 51.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Bb4the answer: 6.Qxd4 d6 7.Bf4
18Benko GambitA57 · for Black18%within 10 moves · 10K games—4.Nc3 13.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxb5the answer: 4…b4 5.Nb1 e6
19Modern DefenseB06 · for Black17%within 10 moves · 7.7M games48% for Black+15 pts well prepared45% win chance after move 113.e5 29.3% play itMistaketheir better move: Nc3the answer: 3…d6 4.f4 dxe5
20Caro-Kann DefenseB10 · for Black16%within 10 moves · 18M games49% for Black+10 pts well prepared49% win chance after move 112.Bc4 12.4% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: d4the answer: 2…d5 3.exd5 cxd5
21Sicilian Wing GambitB20 · for White16%within 6 moves · 58K games48% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games2…e6 9.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxb4the answer: 3.bxc5 Bxc5 4.d4
22Pirc DefenseB07 · for Black15%within 10 moves · 13M games46% for Black+13 pts well prepared47% win chance after move 113.e5 16.6% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Nc3the answer: 3…dxe5 4.dxe5 Qxd1+
23Danish GambitC21 · for White15%within 10 moves · 1.2M games53% for White+18 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 116…Bxc3+ 36.1% play itMistaketheir better move: Nf6the answer: 7.Bxc3 Nf6 8.e5
24Bishop's OpeningC23 · for White14%within 10 moves · 30M games51% for White+20 pts well prepared52% win chance after move 112…Qh4 3.9% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6
25Sicilian KanB41 · for Black14%within 10 moves · 31K games53% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games5.e5 6.3% play itMistaketheir better move: c4
26Marshall AttackC89 · for Black13%within 11 moves · 1.5K games—10.cxd4 56.7% play itBlunder · verified d30their better move: e5the answer: 10…dxe4
27Slav DefenseD15 · for Black13%within 10 moves · 2.3M games45% for Black+11 pts well prepared43% win chance after move 113.c5 7.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf3
28Tarrasch DefenseD32 · for Black12%within 10 moves · 130K games47% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4.e4 5.7% play itMistaketheir better move: cxd5
29Evans GambitC51 · for White11%within 10 moves · 325K games56% for White+12 pts well prepared62% win chance after move 115…Nxb4 29.4% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: a6the answer: 6.a5 Bc5 7.c3
30Caro-Kann Panov AttackB14 · for White11%within 10 moves · 107K games52% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games5…Bf5 15.3% play itMistake · wins a pawn · verified d30their better move: e6the answer: 6.Qb3 Qb6 7.cxd5
31Ruy LopezC60 · for White10%within 10 moves · 15M games52% for White+14 pts well prepared59% win chance after move 114…a6 14% play itMistake · wins a piece · verified d30their better move: Nxe4the answer: 5.Bxc6 dxc6 6.Nxe5
32English OpeningA10 · for White10%within 10 moves · 12M games50% for White+14 pts well prepared57% win chance after move 112…c6 6.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6the answer: 3.Nf3 d6 4.d4
33Caro-Kann AdvanceB12 · for White10%within 9 moves · 2.9M games50% for White+9 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 113…Nd7 3.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: c5
34French WinawerC15 · for Black9%within 11 moves · 247K games48% for Blackwell prepared: too few games44% win chance after move 114.Nf3 4.9% play itMistaketheir better move: e5
35Sicilian NajdorfB90 · for Black9%within 10 moves · 136K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6.Bf4 4.9% play itBlundertheir better move: Be2
36Réti OpeningA04 · for White9%within 10 moves · 300K games50% for Whitewell prepared: too few games55% win chance after move 113…e5 7.9% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: g6
37London SystemD00 · for White8%within 10 moves · 143M games51% for White+11 pts well prepared57% win chance after move 111…e5 8.3% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6the answer: 2.dxe5 Nc6 3.Nf3
38King's Indian DefenseE60 · for Black8%within 11 moves · 397K games48% for Black+8 pts well prepared46% win chance after move 115.e5 8.9% play itMistaketheir better move: Be2
39Sicilian vs Anti-SiciliansB50 · for Black8%within 10 moves · 31M games49% for Black+15 pts well prepared50% win chance after move 112.Qh5 3.9% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf3
40Grünfeld DefenseD80 · for Black8%within 11 moves · 46K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4.e4 3.5% play itMistaketheir better move: Nf3
41Open Ruy LopezC80 · for Black7%within 11 moves · 42K games38% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6.d3 6.7% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: d4
42Traxler CounterattackC57 · for Black6%within 9 moves · 594K games45% for Blackwell prepared: too few games44% win chance after move 115.O-O 3.9% play itMistaketheir better move: Nxf7the answer: 5…O-O 6.d3 d5
43Vienna GameC25 · for White5%within 10 moves · 18M games50% for White+15 pts well prepared57% win chance after move 112…Qf6 2.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf6
44Sicilian DragonB70 · for Black4%within 11 moves · 98K games48% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6.Bf4 4.2% play itMistaketheir better move: Be3
45Nimzo-Indian DefenseE20 · for Black4%within 10 moves · 157K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4.e4 4.1% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nf3
46French TarraschC03 · for White3%within 11 moves · 43K games52% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4…cxd4 5% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: exd5
47Queen's Gambit ExchangeD35 · for White3%within 10 moves · 100K games51% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games4…Bb4 2.1% play itBlundertheir better move: exd5
48Sicilian ScheveningenB80 · for Black3%within 10 moves · 17K games—6.Bf4 3% play itBlundertheir better move: Be3
49Sicilian AlapinB22 · for White3%within 10 moves · 939K games51% for White+12 pts well prepared55% win chance after move 113…Ne4 18.5% play itBlunder · wins material · verified d30their better move: Nd5the answer: 4.d3 Nxf2 5.Kxf2
50Philidor DefenseC41 · for Black3%within 9 moves · 20M games45% for Black+11 pts well prepared40% win chance after move 114.d5 9.5% play itMistake · wins a pawntheir better move: Nc3the answer: 4…Nxe4 5.Bd3 Nf6
51Queen's Gambit DeclinedD30 · for Black3%within 11 moves · 984K games45% for Black+10 pts well prepared44% win chance after move 114.e4 2.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: cxd5
52Classical SicilianB56 · for Black3%within 10 moves · 77K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6.Bd3 2.6% play itBlundertheir better move: Bg5
53Sicilian MoscowB51 · for White2%within 10 moves · 220K games47% for Whitewell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6…O-O-O 11.4% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: d5the answer: 7.d4 cxd4 8.cxd4
54Trompowsky AttackA45 · for White2%within 7 moves · 404K games48% for Whitewell prepared: too few games49% win chance after move 113…Nxe4 4.3% play itBlundertheir better move: h6
55King's Indian AttackA05 · for White1%within 10 moves · 4.9K games—8…Nd4 7.8% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: e5the answer: 9.e5 Nxf3+ 10.Qxf3
56Accelerated DragonB35 · for Black1%within 11 moves · 144K games52% for Black+13 pts well prepared50% win chance after move 116.Nxc6 45.2% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: Nc3the answer: 6…dxc6 7.Qxd8+ Kxd8
57Sicilian TaimanovB44 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 139K games49% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games6.Bd3 3.1% play itBlundertheir better move: Be3
58Ruy Lopez BerlinC65 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 4.3M games43% for Black+17 pts well prepared41% win chance after move 115.Nxe5 2.4% play itMistaketheir better move: Re1
59Queen's Gambit AcceptedD20 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 7.3M games42% for Black+20 pts well prepared37% win chance after move 114.e4 4.7% play itMistaketheir better move: e3
60Torre AttackA46 · for White1%within 9 moves · 2.4M games48% for White+12 pts well prepared53% win chance after move 115…e6 3% play itMistaketheir better move: d5
61Queen's Indian DefenseE12 · for Black1%within 10 moves · 13K games—6.Bg5 2.5% play itMistaketheir better move: d5
62Sicilian RossolimoB30 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 573K games50% for White+15 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 115…Qb6 3.1% play itMistaketheir better move: e5
63Dutch DefenseA80 · for Black<1%within 9 moves · 2.0M games45% for Black+14 pts well prepared44% win chance after move 114.c5 2.8% play itMistaketheir better move: Nf3
64Colle SystemD05 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 1.8M games50% for White+10 pts well prepared54% win chance after move 116…c4 16.5% play itMistake · verified d30their better move: b6the answer: 7.Bc2 Bd6 8.e4
65French AdvanceC02 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 4.2M games49% for White+15 pts well prepared52% win chance after move 117…Nge7 19.3% play itMistaketheir better move: Na5the answer: 8.Bxc4 dxc4 9.Nxc4
66Leningrad DutchA87 · for Black<1%within 10 moves · 2.6K games———
67Closed SicilianB23 · for White<1%within 9 moves · 3.0M games47% for White+14 pts well prepared51% win chance after move 11——
68Sicilian SveshnikovB33 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 28K games50% for Blackwell prepared: too few gameswin chance after move 11: too few games——
69Catalan OpeningE01 · for White<1%within 10 moves · 12K games———
70Bogo-Indian DefenseE11 · for Black<1%within 11 moves · 32K games———

Shares are of Lichess blitz, rapid, classical games in this band that reached each opening’s root position; every reply is graded against Stockfish at depth 20 with the game review’s labels and close calls re-graded at depth 30; each figure is a lower bound. 70 of 70 openings are measured at this level. Reply data mined 2026-10-03.

Win rates are wins of the owning side over every rated Lichess blitz, rapid and classical game that reached the opening’s root position in May and June 2026, banded by the average of both ratings; “well prepared” is the win rate of players who were never the first to leave established theory, and no mistake or blunder before move 11, minus the win rate of every evaluated game in the band, in points; “win chance after move 11” is the owning side’s mean win probability at that point over evaluated games. Floors: 1.0K games, 1.0K evaluated games, 300 well-prepared games. How these are measured.

Frequently asked questions

75% of Lichess players rated under 1200 who reach the Vienna Gambit make a mistake or blunder on the lines we teach within the first 10 moves (1.2M games, a lower bound). That is the top of this page’s ranking; the table lists every opening we teach in the same order, with the slip that costs the most and the answer to it.

Your games already show which of these openings you actually reach — the trainer ranks this list for your own rating and drills the lines behind it.

Analyze your games free